Written in partnership with
AlphaSense
Harry Stebbings, Founder of 20VC, joins AlphaSense’s Charlie Aspden
for a conversation that challenges several assumptions about European private markets. Harry opens with a striking view, asserting that most assets are mispriced. In his words, “assets are grossly overpriced in private markets on the whole, and for a very few exceptions, they are dramatically underpriced.” Those rare companies, he argues, fall so far outside legacy valuation frameworks that investors often miss them entirely.
For Stebbings, the consistent marker of these outliers is not a model, a metric or a macro trend. It is the founder.
“The only thing that matters is the founder.”
Meaning, a particular kind of entrepreneurial intensity is a key identifier as to whether an investment will be a success. He looks for founders who are so committed to building a generational company that stepping away from their work is almost physically uncomfortable. His point is not about glorifying extreme working habits. It is about recognising a level of conviction and obsession that cannot be taught and that often signals the potential for exceptional outcomes. In his view, this is far more predictive of success than anything found in an investment memo.
Applying the same founder-first thinking to the rest of the market, when the conversation turns to liquidity, he dismisses the idea that private equity can simply absorb weaker assets. “Private equity investors do not want your crap assets.” In his view, only companies led by genuinely exceptional founders will break through the current bottlenecks.
A key source of Stebbings’ optimism about Europe is what he sees as a significant rise in founder quality, especially in AI. Much of this insight comes from his work on Project Europe, an initiative that 20VC part funds, focused on identifying and backing the next generation of transformative European companies. Through this initiative he has observed several shifts: stronger technical depth among founders, greater commercial ambition and an increasing preference among European enterprises to choose technology built in Europe rather than looking first to the United States. These signals, he suggests, mark an important turning point for the region’s startup ecosystem.
How Stebbings connects these threads is what makes the full conversation worth watching. His framework for identifying outlier founders, and the implications that flow from it, offering a perspective that goes beyond market commentary. It is a rare window into the mindset of someone who has backed some of Europe’s most significant companies.
Discover the full interview here.